Spain
vs
Czechia
3 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Lamine Yamal | ||
| 35′ | Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante | ||
| 45′ | Alejandro Baena RodríguezYeremy Pino | ||
| 45′ | Lamine YamalVíctor Muñoz | ||
| 57′ | Lukas AmbrosRyan Naderi | ||
| 57′ | Roman MacekLukáš Červ | ||
| 67′ | Daniel Olmo CarvajalFermín López | ||
| 67′ | PedriMikel Merino | ||
| 69′ | Jiri Slama | ||
| 73′ | Alex KrálMichal Sadílek | ||
| 73′ | Matej RadostaPavel Bucha | ||
| 77′ | Rodrigo Hernandez CascanteMartín Zubimendi | ||
| 79′ | Ladislav Krejčí | ||
| 82′ | Michal Sadílek | ||
| 85′ | Ladislav Krejčí | ||
| 85′ | Santiago Denia Sánchez | ||
| 87′ | Adam HložekMartin Vitik | ||
| 89′ | Ondrej Lingr | ||
| 89′ | Mikel Merino | ||
| 90′ | Antonin Kinsky | ||
| 90′ | Stepan Chaloupek | ||
| 90′ | Fermín López |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 69 | Possession % | 31 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 704 | Accurate passes | 280 |
Spain vs Czechia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Spain vs Czechia
| Probability | Spain | Draw | Czechia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.2% | 17.6% | 9.2% |
| Market | 89.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Final | 85.6% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Edge | -16.5% | +10.5% | +6.0% |
Why Spain
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Spain and Czechia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Spain and Czechia attack and defence ratings
Spain
Czechia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Spain vs Czechia: result vs prediction
Spain 3 – 1 Czechia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Spain vs Czechia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spain | 85.6% | 1.17 | -16.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Spain win | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spain | 85.6% |
| Draw | 9.7% | |
| Czechia | 4.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 14.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spain win | 51.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.0% |
| 3-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Spain vs Czechia stats
Spain vs Czechia head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-12 | Spain | Czechia | UEFA Nations League | 2-0 |
| 2022-06-05 | Czechia | Spain | UEFA Nations League | 2-2 |
| 2016-06-13 | Spain | Czechia | Euro Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Spain vs Czechia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 89.7%, draw 7.1%, away 3.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.07 | 14.20 | 42.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.06 | 12.00 | 29.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 13.00 | 29.00 |
| Betano | 1.09 | 13.50 | 28.00 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 16.00 | 41.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.07 | 14.25 | 43.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07 | 13.97 | 30.49 |
| SBO | 1.07 | 10.60 | 22.12 |
| William Hill | 1.04 | 12.00 | 36.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .