England
vs
Czechia
3 – 0 Full time
| 27′ | Vladimír Coufal | ||
| 40′ | Harry Kane | ||
| 45′ | Ondrej LingrMatej Radosta | ||
| 53′ | Myles Lewis-Skelly | ||
| 54′ | Michal Sadílek | ||
| 57′ | Harry Kane | ||
| 58′ | Lukas AmbrosAdam Hložek | ||
| 63′ | Marc GuehiJarrad Branthwaite | ||
| 63′ | Elliot AndersonJames Garner | ||
| 67′ | Martin Vitik | ||
| 68′ | Jiri SlamaOndrej Zmrzly | ||
| 68′ | Michal SadílekRoman Macek | ||
| 72′ | Lewis HallMorgan Gibbs-White | ||
| 73′ | Jude BellinghamRio Ngumoha | ||
| 82′ | Harry KaneDominic Calvert-Lewin | ||
| 84′ | Vladimír CoufalOndrej Kricfalusi |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 554 | Accurate passes | 274 |
England vs Czechia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: England vs Czechia
| Probability | England | Draw | Czechia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% |
| Market | 86.1% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Final | 84.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +2.1% | +4.4% |
Why England
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.53 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
England and Czechia expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.75
England and Czechia attack and defence ratings
England
Czechia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
England vs Czechia: result vs prediction
England 3 – 0 Czechia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
England vs Czechia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | England | 84.5% | 1.18 | -6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | England win | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | England | 84.5% |
| Draw | 10.3% | |
| Czechia | 5.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 14.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 89.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 15.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | England win | 63.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 20.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.7% |
| 4-1 | 6.8% | |
| 2-1 | 6.6% |
England vs Czechia stats
England vs Czechia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia | England | UEFA Nations League | 0-2 |
| 2021-06-22 | Czechia | England | Euro Championship | 0-1 |
| 2019-10-11 | Czechia | England | Euro Championship | 2-1 |
| 2019-03-22 | England | Czechia | Euro Championship | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
England vs Czechia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 86.1%, draw 9.8%, away 4.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 9.70 | 26.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| Betano | 1.12 | 10.00 | 28.00 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 10.50 | 26.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 9.70 | 26.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.11 | 10.55 | 20.22 |
| SBO | 1.10 | 8.87 | 16.84 |
| William Hill | 1.10 | 8.50 | 23.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .