Greece
vs
Germany
0 – 0 Full time
| 23′ | Kostas Tsimikas | ||
| 36′ | Waldemar Anton | ||
| 46′ | Vangelis PavlidisKonstantinos Karetsas | ||
| 46′ | Alexandros KyziridisAthanasios Androutsos | ||
| 53′ | Christos Zafeiris | ||
| 63′ | Jonathan BurkardtNick Woltemade | ||
| 63′ | Lennart KarlSaid El Mala | ||
| 66′ | Philipp Treu | ||
| 68′ | Dimitris KourbelisChristos Mouzakitis | ||
| 78′ | Konstantinos MavropanosPanagiotis Retsos | ||
| 79′ | Manolis Saliakas | ||
| 83′ | Tom BischofMika Baur | ||
| 83′ | Derry ScherhantBambasé Conté | ||
| 88′ | Fotis IoannidisCharalampos Kostoulas | ||
| 90′ | Malick Thiaw |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 30 | Possession % | 70 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 183 | Accurate passes | 569 |
Greece vs Germany overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Greece vs Germany
| Probability | Greece | Draw | Germany |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.0% | 23.8% | 56.2% |
| Market | 22.7% | 24.5% | 52.8% |
| Final | 22.1% | 24.3% | 53.6% |
| Edge | -2.7% | -0.7% | +3.4% |
Why Germany
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.12.
- The market prices Germany below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Greece and Germany expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Greece and Germany attack and defence ratings
Greece
Germany
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Greece vs Germany: result vs prediction
Greece 0 – 0 Germany
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Greece vs Germany markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Germany | 53.6% | 1.86 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Greece | 22.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Germany | 53.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Germany win | 33.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.0% |
Greece vs Germany stats
Greece vs Germany head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Germany | Greece | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-07 | Germany | Greece | Friendlies | 2-1 |
| 2012-06-22 | Germany | Greece | Euro Championship | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Greece vs Germany odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.7%, draw 24.5%, away 52.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.25 | 4.10 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.35 | 4.10 | 1.82 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 4.10 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | 4.25 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
| SBO | 3.42 | 3.37 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.73 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .