UEFA Nations League
·
Full time
·League A - 3
Belgium
vs
Türkiye
3 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Kevin De Bruyne | ||
| 26′ | Dodi Lukebakio | ||
| 30′ | Youri Tielemans | ||
| 45′ | Baris Alper YilmazYunus Akgün | ||
| 56′ | Abdulkerim Bardakçı | ||
| 59′ | Kevin De Bruyne | ||
| 61′ | Hans VanakenRomeo Lavia | ||
| 61′ | Dodi LukebakioRomelu Lukaku | ||
| 66′ | Oğuz AydınIlhan Fakili | ||
| 67′ | Kerem AktürkoğluDeniz Gül | ||
| 71′ | Merih Demiral | ||
| 73′ | Bartuğ ElmazSalih Özcan | ||
| 75′ | Mika GodtsLeandro Trossard | ||
| 76′ | Romelu Lukaku | ||
| 80′ | Kevin De Bruyne | ||
| 82′ | Charles De KetelaereMalick Fofana | ||
| 82′ | Kevin De BruyneLoïs Openda | ||
| 85′ | Ismail YüksekDemir Ege Tıknaz | ||
| 90′ | Arda Güler | ||
| 90′ | Nathan Ngoy |
Belgium
61%
Draw
21%
Türkiye
18%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 7 |
| 462 | Accurate passes | 377 |
Belgium vs Türkiye overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Belgium vs Türkiye
| Probability | Belgium | Draw | Türkiye |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.7% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| Market | 61.0% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| Final | 60.9% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| Edge | -0.2% | -0.8% | +1.0% |
Why Belgium
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Belgium and Türkiye expected goals
Belgium
2.44
Türkiye
1.31
Total expected goals: 3.76
Belgium and Türkiye attack and defence ratings
Belgium
Attack
1.78 +78%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Türkiye
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Belgium vs Türkiye: result vs prediction
Belgium 3 – 0 Türkiye
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Belgium vs Türkiye markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgium | 60.9% | 1.64 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Belgium win | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belgium | 60.9% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Türkiye | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Belgium win | 41.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 38.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.4% | |
| 3-1 | 7.4% |
Belgium vs Türkiye stats
Belgium vs Türkiye head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Belgium vs Türkiye odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.0%, draw 21.0%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.65 | 5.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.65 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 4.65 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.61 | 5.55 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 4.36 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 ▲ +0.09
X
4.50 ▼ -0.30
2
5.25 ▼ -0.85
8 snapshots recorded, from .