Standard Liege
vs
SK Beveren
Garuda Lions Prediction: Standard Liege
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Standard Liege is the favourite, not a value bet.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Standard Liege vs SK Beveren
| Probability | Standard Liege | Draw | SK Beveren |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 25.6% | 33.3% |
| Market | 48.8% | 25.3% | 25.9% |
| Final | 46.9% | 25.3% | 27.8% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +0.1% | +1.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.99, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (our 46.9% × 1.99 − 1).
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren match preview
Standard Liege hosts SK Beveren in the Jupiler Pro League with a probability of 49% for a home win, while the chances for a draw and an away victory stand at 25% and 26%, respectively. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.68 for Standard Liege and 1.49 for SK Beveren. Additionally, there is a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Standard Liege has struggled with a record of D-L-W-L-L-L, while SK Beveren has shown some resilience with L-D-W-L-L-W. Historically, Standard Liege has dominated their last 10 encounters with 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses against SK Beveren. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Standard Liege and SK Beveren expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
Standard Liege and SK Beveren attack and defence ratings
Standard Liege
SK Beveren
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Standard Liege | 46.9% | 2.13 | -1.9% | 1.99 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Standard Liege | 46.9% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| SK Beveren | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% |
| No | 35.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Standard Liege win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren stats
Standard Liege and SK Beveren recent form
| Standard Liege |
DLWLLL |
| SK Beveren |
LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Standard Liege and SK Beveren season so far
Standard Liege record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
SK Beveren record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SK Beveren | Standard Liege | Belgium Cup | 1-2 |
| 2021-01-11 | Standard Liege | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-17 | SK Beveren | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-21 | SK Beveren | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2019-10-30 | Standard Liege | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2019-03-17 | Standard Liege | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 4-3 |
| 2018-08-03 | SK Beveren | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2017-12-08 | SK Beveren | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2017-10-29 | Standard Liege | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2017-02-12 | SK Beveren | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Standard Liege vs SK Beveren odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 25.3%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.74 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.90 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.75 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.64 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.87 | 3.70 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.31 | 3.22 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .