Réal Bamako
vs
ES Zarzis
2 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | Bourama | ||
| 75′ | ES Zarzis | ||
| 79′ | ES Zarzis | ||
| 90′ | Réal Bamako |
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis
| Probability | Réal Bamako | Draw | ES Zarzis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 27.9% | 18.7% |
| Market | 55.2% | 26.1% | 18.7% |
| Final | 54.8% | 26.5% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.0% |
Why Réal Bamako
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.82.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Réal Bamako and ES Zarzis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Réal Bamako and ES Zarzis attack and defence ratings
Réal Bamako
ES Zarzis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis: result vs prediction
Réal Bamako 2 – 2 ES Zarzis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Réal Bamako | 54.8% | 1.83 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Réal Bamako | 54.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| ES Zarzis | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Réal Bamako win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis stats
Réal Bamako and ES Zarzis recent form
| Réal Bamako |
WDW |
| ES Zarzis |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | ES Zarzis | Réal Bamako | CAF Confederation Cup | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.2%, draw 26.1%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 3.52 | 4.92 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.35 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.52 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.25 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .