Cucuta
vs
Jaguares
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cucuta
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.84.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cucuta vs Jaguares overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Jaguares
| Probability | Cucuta | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.8% | 24.5% | 15.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.8% | 24.5% | 15.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cucuta
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Cucuta vs Jaguares match preview
Cucuta enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 60%, while Jaguares has a lower chance of 16%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Cucuta, with an expected goals tally of 1.83 for Cucuta compared to 0.84 for Jaguares. Recent form shows Cucuta winning three of their last six matches, while Jaguares has struggled, winning only two out of their last six.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 50% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams have a nearly equal chance of scoring, with 49% for both teams to score. The last head-to-head encounter saw Jaguares claim victory, though Cucuta's recent form may give them the edge in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cucuta and Jaguares expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Cucuta and Jaguares attack and defence ratings
Cucuta
Jaguares
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 19 fixtures
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- Deportivo Pasto vs Junior
- Deportivo Cali v Deportes Tolima — match page
- Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe
- Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas — match page
- Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
Before and after this match
Cucuta vs Jaguares markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 59.8% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Jaguares | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cucuta win | 35.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 40.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.6% |
Cucuta vs Jaguares stats
Cucuta and Jaguares recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cucuta and Jaguares season so far
Cucuta record
- They have won 9 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Jaguares record
- They have won 8 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Cucuta vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Jaguares | Cucuta | Primera A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.