Forest Green
vs
Chesham United
5 – 0 Full time
Forest Green vs Chesham United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Forest Green vs Chesham United
| Probability | Forest Green | Draw | Chesham United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.4% | 23.4% | 33.3% |
| Market | 77.4% | 15.1% | 7.5% |
| Final | 68.9% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| Edge | -34.0% | +8.3% | +25.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Forest Green and Chesham United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
Forest Green and Chesham United attack and defence ratings
Forest Green
Chesham United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Forest Green vs Chesham United: result vs prediction
Forest Green 5 – 0 Chesham United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Forest Green vs Chesham United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forest Green | 68.9% | 1.45 | -34.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forest Green | 68.9% |
| Draw | 17.2% | |
| Chesham United | 14.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.9% |
| No | 29.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Forest Green win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Forest Green vs Chesham United stats
Forest Green and Chesham United recent form
| Forest Green |
DLWLW |
| Chesham United |
DWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Forest Green vs Chesham United head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Chesham United | Forest Green | England FA Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Forest Green vs Chesham United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.4%, draw 15.1%, away 7.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 6.20 | 12.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.23 | 5.60 | 10.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.40 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 6.20 | 12.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16 | 5.92 | 7.90 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .