Luton
vs
Forest Green
Garuda Lions Prediction: Forest Green
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Luton vs Forest Green overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Luton vs Forest Green
| Probability | Luton | Draw | Forest Green |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 24.1% | 39.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.8% | 24.1% | 39.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Luton vs Forest Green match preview
In the upcoming FA Cup match, Luton faces Forest Green with a probability model suggesting a competitive encounter. Luton has a 34% chance of winning, while Forest Green is slightly favored at 42%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2 in favor of Forest Green, with both teams showing a strong likelihood of scoring; the model indicates a 68% chance for both teams to find the net.
Recent form shows Luton with mixed results, having won two of their last six matches, while Forest Green has performed slightly better, winning three of their last six. Expected goals statistics favor Forest Green at 1.82 compared to Luton's 1.62, indicating a potentially challenging match for the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Luton and Forest Green expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.50
Luton and Forest Green attack and defence ratings
Luton
Forest Green
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Luton vs Forest Green markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Forest Green | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luton | 36.8% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Forest Green | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% |
| No | 30.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Forest Green win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Luton vs Forest Green stats
Luton and Forest Green recent form
| Luton |
WWWLWL |
| Forest Green |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Luton vs Forest Green head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | Luton | Forest Green | England FA Cup | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.