Harrogate Town
vs
AFC Fylde
Garuda Lions Prediction: Harrogate Town
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde
| Probability | Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 24.7% | 33.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.4% | 24.7% | 33.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Harrogate Town
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde match preview
In the upcoming FA Cup match, Harrogate Town faces AFC Fylde with a predicted probability of 41% for a Harrogate Town victory, 25% for a draw, and 34% for an AFC Fylde win. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Harrogate Town, with an expected goals tally of 1.76 for Harrogate and 1.58 for AFC Fylde.
Both teams show a tendency to score, with the model indicating a 67% chance that both teams will find the net. Additionally, there is a 65% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Recent form shows Harrogate Town with two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while AFC Fylde has had a mixed run with two wins and a draw in their last five.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Harrogate Town and AFC Fylde expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
Harrogate Town and AFC Fylde attack and defence ratings
Harrogate Town
AFC Fylde
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Harrogate Town | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Harrogate Town | 41.4% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| AFC Fylde | 33.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Harrogate Town win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde stats
Harrogate Town and AFC Fylde recent form
| Harrogate Town |
WDLWWL |
| AFC Fylde |
WLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.