Salisbury
vs
Sholing
Garuda Lions Prediction: Salisbury
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.30.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Salisbury vs Sholing overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salisbury vs Sholing
| Probability | Salisbury | Draw | Sholing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.0% | 24.2% | 24.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.0% | 24.2% | 24.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Salisbury
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.30.
Salisbury vs Sholing match preview
Salisbury faces Sholing in the FA Cup with a slight edge in the probabilities, as our model assigns a 51% chance of victory to Salisbury, compared to 25% for Sholing and a 24% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Salisbury projected at 1.92 and Sholing at 1.30. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Salisbury, occurring with a 10% probability.
Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Salisbury recording three wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Sholing has also been impressive with four wins in their last five fixtures. The model indicates a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 63%, suggesting an engaging encounter ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salisbury and Sholing expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Salisbury and Sholing attack and defence ratings
Salisbury
Sholing
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Salisbury vs Sholing markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salisbury | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salisbury | 51.0% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Sholing | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salisbury win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 49.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Salisbury vs Sholing stats
Salisbury and Sholing recent form
| Salisbury |
WWWLDW |
| Sholing |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.