United of Manchester
vs
Altrincham
2 – 6 Full time
United of Manchester vs Altrincham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: United of Manchester vs Altrincham
| Probability | United of Manchester | Draw | Altrincham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.1% | 24.3% | 16.6% |
| Market | 29.6% | 24.8% | 45.7% |
| Final | 36.9% | 24.6% | 38.4% |
| Edge | +29.5% | -0.5% | -29.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
United of Manchester and Altrincham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
United of Manchester and Altrincham attack and defence ratings
United of Manchester
Altrincham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
United of Manchester vs Altrincham: result vs prediction
United of Manchester 2 – 6 Altrincham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
United of Manchester vs Altrincham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altrincham | 38.4% | 2.60 | -29.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United of Manchester | 36.9% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Altrincham | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Altrincham win | 5.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.9% | |
| Loss | 83.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-0 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.6% |
United of Manchester vs Altrincham stats
United of Manchester and Altrincham recent form
| United of Manchester |
DWWWLW |
| Altrincham |
DLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
United of Manchester vs Altrincham head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Altrincham | United of Manchester | England FA Cup | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-11 | United of Manchester | Altrincham | Friendlies Clubs | 4-1 |
| 2011-11-27 | United of Manchester | Altrincham | FA Trophy | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
United of Manchester vs Altrincham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 24.8%, away 45.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.65 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 4.00 | 2.03 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 3.65 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.74 | 1.92 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .