England FA Cup · Full time ·4th Round Qualifying

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead

5 – 2 Full time

Huish Park, Yeovil

Yeovil Town 56%
Draw 20%
Leatherhead 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYeovil TownDrawLeatherhead
Model26.9%26.5%46.6%
Market65.5%18.2%16.3%
Final55.9%20.2%23.9%
Edge-38.7%+8.3%+30.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yeovil Town ↓ / Leatherhead → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Yeovil Town and Leatherhead expected goals

Yeovil Town 1.22
Leatherhead 1.66

Total expected goals: 2.88

Yeovil Town and Leatherhead attack and defence ratings

Yeovil Town

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Leatherhead

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead: result vs prediction

Yeovil Town 5 – 2 Leatherhead

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yeovil Town 55.9% 1.79 -38.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.8% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.8% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.1% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yeovil Town55.9%
Draw20.2%
Leatherhead23.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.8%
Under 2.545.2%
Both teams to scoreYes58.1%
No41.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.1%
12 (either side)79.8%
X2 (draw or away)44.1%
Handicap -1Yeovil Town win11.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss73.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-29.4%
0-18.2%

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead stats

Yeovil Town and Leatherhead recent form

newest first
Yeovil Town DLL
Leatherhead DWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Yeovil Town wins 1Draws 0Leatherhead wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17LeatherheadYeovil TownEngland FA Cup3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 18.2%, away 16.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.36 5.10 5.72
Bet365 1.44 4.75 4.75
BetVictor 1.40 4.60 6.00
Betano 1.44 4.65 5.60
Betfair 1.30 5.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.49 5.40 5.40
Marathonbet 1.35 5.10 5.50
Pinnacle 1.34 4.96 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.38 ▲ +0.01
X 4.98 ▲ +0.08
2 5.55 ▼ -0.24

2 snapshots recorded, from .