Yeovil Town
vs
Leatherhead
5 – 2 Full time
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead
| Probability | Yeovil Town | Draw | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 26.5% | 46.6% |
| Market | 65.5% | 18.2% | 16.3% |
| Final | 55.9% | 20.2% | 23.9% |
| Edge | -38.7% | +8.3% | +30.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yeovil Town and Leatherhead expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Yeovil Town and Leatherhead attack and defence ratings
Yeovil Town
Leatherhead
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead: result vs prediction
Yeovil Town 5 – 2 Leatherhead
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yeovil Town | 55.9% | 1.79 | -38.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yeovil Town | 55.9% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Leatherhead | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yeovil Town win | 11.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 73.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.2% |
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead stats
Yeovil Town and Leatherhead recent form
| DLL | |
| DWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Leatherhead | Yeovil Town | England FA Cup | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yeovil Town vs Leatherhead odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.5%, draw 18.2%, away 16.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 5.10 | 5.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.65 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.10 | 5.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 4.96 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .