Cambridge United
vs
Millwall
0 – 1 Full time
Cambridge United vs Millwall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Millwall
| Probability | Cambridge United | Draw | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 34.7% | 35.5% |
| Market | 29.0% | 28.1% | 42.9% |
| Final | 29.2% | 29.8% | 41.0% |
| Edge | +0.8% | +6.5% | -7.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambridge United and Millwall expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.88
Cambridge United and Millwall attack and defence ratings
Cambridge United
Millwall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cambridge United vs Millwall: result vs prediction
Cambridge United 0 – 1 Millwall
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambridge United vs Millwall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 41.0% | 2.44 | -7.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 29.2% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Millwall | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.3% |
| No | 61.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millwall win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.6% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.8% |
Cambridge United vs Millwall stats
Cambridge United and Millwall recent form
| Cambridge United |
DWWDWL |
| Millwall |
WWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambridge United vs Millwall head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-02 | Cambridge United | Millwall | League Cup | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-24 | Millwall | Cambridge United | League Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cambridge United vs Millwall odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 28.1%, away 42.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.35 | 2.27 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36 | 3.39 | 2.24 |
| SBO | 2.92 | 2.99 | 2.11 |
| Superbet | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .