Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
Shimizu S-pulse
vs
Osaka
2 – 1 Full time
Shimizu S-pulse
36%
Draw
31%
Osaka
33%
Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka
| Probability | Shimizu S-pulse | Draw | Osaka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.8% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Shimizu S-pulse and Osaka expected goals
Shimizu S-pulse
1.17
Osaka
1.07
Total expected goals: 2.24
Shimizu S-pulse and Osaka attack and defence ratings
Shimizu S-pulse
Attack
0.54 -46%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Osaka
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka: result vs prediction
Shimizu S-pulse 2 – 1 Osaka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 35.8% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Osaka | 32.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shimizu S-pulse win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 63.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka stats
Shimizu S-pulse and Osaka recent form
| Shimizu S-pulse |
LLWLDL |
| Osaka |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.