Cancún
vs
CDS Tampico Madero
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cancún
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 0.80.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero
| Probability | Cancún | Draw | CDS Tampico Madero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.3% | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.3% | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cancún
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero match preview
Cancún enters the match against CDS Tampico Madero with a strong probability of winning at 72%. Their recent form shows a mix of results with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. The expected goals for Cancún stand at 2.42, suggesting a solid offensive performance, while CDS Tampico Madero is expected to score only 0.80 goals.
In contrast, CDS Tampico Madero has struggled recently, recording one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Historically, the head-to-head record favors CDS Tampico Madero, who has won three out of the last four encounters, with one draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Cancún, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cancún and CDS Tampico Madero expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Cancún and CDS Tampico Madero attack and defence ratings
Cancún
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cancún | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cancún win | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cancún | 72.3% |
| Draw | 18.0% | |
| CDS Tampico Madero | 9.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cancún win | 50.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 27.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.6% |
| 3-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.4% |
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero stats
Cancún and CDS Tampico Madero recent form
| Cancún |
WDDWLW |
| CDS Tampico Madero |
LWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cancún and CDS Tampico Madero season so far
Cancún record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CDS Tampico Madero record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Cancún | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-01 | CDS Tampico Madero | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Cancún | CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | CDS Tampico Madero | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.