Cruz Azul Hidalgo
vs
Tlaxcala
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala
| Probability | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Draw | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 24.6% | 33.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.7% | 24.6% | 33.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala match preview
Cruz Azul Hidalgo faces Tlaxcala in an upcoming Liga de Expansión MX match, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Cruz Azul Hidalgo has a 46% chance of winning, while Tlaxcala holds a 30% probability, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals for Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 1.93, compared to Tlaxcala's 1.56, suggesting a competitive encounter.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Cruz Azul Hidalgo, with a 9% chance of occurrence. Both teams are expected to score, with our model indicating a 68% likelihood for both teams to find the net and for the match to see over 2.5 goals. Recent form shows Cruz Azul Hidalgo with mixed results, while Tlaxcala has shown better consistency.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala attack and defence ratings
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Tlaxcala
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 41.7% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Tlaxcala | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tlaxcala stats
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala recent form
| Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
LWWDLL |
| Tlaxcala |
WDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala season so far
Cruz Azul Hidalgo record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Tlaxcala record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.