Correcaminos Uat
vs
Venados FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Correcaminos Uat
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC
| Probability | Correcaminos Uat | Draw | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 24.5% | 35.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.6% | 24.5% | 35.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC match preview
Correcaminos Uat faces Venados FC in what promises to be a competitive encounter in Liga de Expansión MX. Our model assigns a 40% probability of a Correcaminos Uat victory, while Venados FC has a 36% chance of winning, with a 25% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals are closely matched, with Correcaminos Uat at 1.75 and Venados FC at 1.66. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Correcaminos Uat, occurring with an 8% probability.
Both teams have shown fluctuating form recently, with Correcaminos Uat recording two losses and a draw in their last five matches, while Venados FC has managed two wins and a draw in the same period. The model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 68%, suggesting an open match with potential for multiple goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Correcaminos Uat and Venados FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Correcaminos Uat and Venados FC attack and defence ratings
Correcaminos Uat
Venados FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 39.6% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Venados FC | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Correcaminos Uat win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC stats
Correcaminos Uat and Venados FC recent form
| Correcaminos Uat |
LLDWLD |
| Venados FC |
DDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Correcaminos Uat and Venados FC season so far
Correcaminos Uat record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
Venados FC record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
Correcaminos Uat vs Venados FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Venados FC | Correcaminos Uat | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Correcaminos Uat | Venados FC | Liga de Expansión MX | 3-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.