Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 16

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna

0 – 2 Full time

15′Aarón Quirós
34′Joaquín Alejandro Moxica ChapaDiogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar
42′Felipe Sánchez
45′Jonathan Geovanni Pérez SánchezTahiel Adrian Jimenez
57′Eduardo AguirreKevin Palacios
63′Francisco VillalbaJavier Guemez
63′Facundo CáseresAldo Lopez
67′Tahiel Adrian Jimenez
73′Aldo Lopez
77′Walter ClarDaniel González
77′Esteban Lozano
85′Eugenio PizzutoMaximiliano García
85′Luis SánchezLuis Puente
85′Ezequiel BullaudeL. Gómez
90′Walter Portales

Estadio Banorte, Mexico CityReferee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

Atlante FC 38%
Draw 26%
Santos Laguna 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
31 Possession % 69
3 Corners 6
13 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1
1 Saves 5
239 Accurate passes 574

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlante FCDrawSantos Laguna
Model22.6%27.2%50.2%
Market43.3%25.8%30.9%
Final38.1%26.1%35.8%
Edge-5.2%+0.3%+4.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlante FC ↓ / Santos Laguna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Atlante FC and Santos Laguna expected goals

Atlante FC 1.02
Santos Laguna 1.62

Total expected goals: 2.64

Atlante FC and Santos Laguna attack and defence ratings

Atlante FC

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Santos Laguna

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna: result vs prediction

Atlante FC 0 – 2 Santos Laguna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atlante FC 38.1% 2.62 -5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.9% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.4% 1.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlante FC38.1%
Draw26.1%
Santos Laguna35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.1%
Under 2.550.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.9%
Handicap -1Atlante FC win8.6%
Push (exactly one goal)14.0%
Loss77.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
0-110.4%
1-29.5%

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna stats

Atlante FC and Santos Laguna recent form

newest first
Atlante FC LLWLLW
Santos Laguna WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atlante FC and Santos Laguna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atlante FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).

Santos Laguna record

  • They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Atlante FC wins 0Draws 0Santos Laguna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-19Santos LagunaAtlante FCFriendlies Clubs0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 25.8%, away 30.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 3.60 2.95
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.18 3.60 3.10
Betfair 2.10 3.70 3.00
Dafabet 2.18 3.70 3.10
Marathonbet 2.14 3.60 2.93
Pinnacle 2.17 3.83 3.17
SBO 2.10 3.45 2.90
William Hill 2.05 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.10
X 3.60 ▼ -0.06
2 3.00 ▼ -0.15

10 snapshots recorded, from .