FC Eindhoven
vs
Waalwijk
Garuda Lions Prediction: Waalwijk
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk
| Probability | FC Eindhoven | Draw | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.0% | 24.0% | 43.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.0% | 24.0% | 43.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk match preview
FC Eindhoven will host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on November 21, 2026. According to our model, FC Eindhoven has a 32% chance of winning, while Waalwijk is favored at 44%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Waalwijk, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 68% likelihood, and there is a 67% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, FC Eindhoven has struggled, recording six consecutive matches without a win (L-L-W-L-L-L), while Waalwijk has also faced difficulties, with five draws and one loss in their last six games (D-L-D-D-D-L). The expected goals for FC Eindhoven stand at 1.59, compared to Waalwijk's 1.88, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Eindhoven and Waalwijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
FC Eindhoven and Waalwijk attack and defence ratings
FC Eindhoven
Waalwijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Eindhoven | 32.0% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Waalwijk | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk stats
FC Eindhoven and Waalwijk recent form
| FC Eindhoven |
LLWLLL |
| Waalwijk |
DLDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Eindhoven and Waalwijk season so far
FC Eindhoven record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waalwijk record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Eindhoven vs Waalwijk head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Waalwijk | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-22 | FC Eindhoven | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.