Eerste Divisie Β· Β·Matchday 16

FC OSS vs Roda

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC OSS

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss

FC OSS 42%
Draw 28%
Roda 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC OSS wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

FC OSS vs Roda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC OSS vs Roda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC OSSDrawRoda
Model41.9%27.5%30.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final41.9%27.5%30.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

FC OSS vs Roda match preview

FC OSS faces Roda in the Eerste Divisie with FC OSS holding a 42% probability of winning, while Roda has a 31% chance. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of FC OSS, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 57%, and there is a 53% likelihood that the match will see over 2.5 goals.

In terms of recent form, FC OSS has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. Conversely, Roda has shown strong performance, winning four of their last six games and drawing one. The expected goals for FC OSS stand at 1.51, while Roda is projected at 1.26, indicating a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC OSS ↓ / Roda β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

FC OSS and Roda expected goals

FC OSS 1.51
Roda 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.78

FC OSS and Roda attack and defence ratings

FC OSS

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Roda

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 16 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC OSS vs Roda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC OSS 41.9% 2.39 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.5% 1.38 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC OSS41.9%
Draw27.5%
Roda30.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.5%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.1%
Handicap -1FC OSS win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.0%
1-08.2%

FC OSS vs Roda stats

FC OSS and Roda recent form

newest first
FC OSS DLWDLW
Roda LWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC OSS and Roda season so far

league record

FC OSS record

  • They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.

Roda record

  • They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC OSS vs Roda head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1FC OSS wins 0Draws 1Roda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-23RodaFC OSSEerste Divisie1-2
2025-09-26FC OSSRodaEerste Divisie1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC OSS vs Roda odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 FC OSS Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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