De Graafschap
vs
FC OSS
1 – 2 Full time
De Graafschap vs FC OSS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: De Graafschap vs FC OSS
| Probability | De Graafschap | Draw | FC OSS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 27.2% | 38.0% |
| Market | 57.9% | 21.4% | 20.7% |
| Final | 52.1% | 22.8% | 25.1% |
| Edge | -5.8% | +1.5% | +4.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
De Graafschap and FC OSS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
De Graafschap and FC OSS attack and defence ratings
De Graafschap
FC OSS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
De Graafschap vs FC OSS: result vs prediction
De Graafschap 1 – 2 FC OSS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
De Graafschap vs FC OSS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | De Graafschap | 52.1% | 1.92 | -5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | De Graafschap | 52.1% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| FC OSS | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | De Graafschap win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
De Graafschap vs FC OSS stats
De Graafschap and FC OSS recent form
| De Graafschap |
WLDLWD |
| FC OSS |
DLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
De Graafschap and FC OSS going into this match
De Graafschap record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC OSS record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
De Graafschap vs FC OSS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | FC OSS | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-18 | De Graafschap | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | FC OSS | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-22 | De Graafschap | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-29 | De Graafschap | FC OSS | KNVB Beker | 4-1 |
| 2024-03-01 | De Graafschap | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-01 | FC OSS | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-14 | FC OSS | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 3-3 |
| 2022-10-28 | De Graafschap | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-15 | De Graafschap | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
De Graafschap vs FC OSS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 21.4%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.40 | 4.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.25 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.47 | 4.63 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 4.00 | 4.03 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .