Roda
vs
FC Volendam
3 – 1 Full time
Roda vs FC Volendam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Roda vs FC Volendam
| Probability | Roda | Draw | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.5% | 23.4% | 38.1% |
| Market | 47.8% | 24.8% | 27.4% |
| Final | 45.5% | 24.5% | 30.1% |
| Edge | -2.3% | -0.3% | +2.7% |
Why Roda
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Roda and FC Volendam expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Roda and FC Volendam attack and defence ratings
Roda
FC Volendam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Roda vs FC Volendam: result vs prediction
Roda 3 – 1 FC Volendam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Roda vs FC Volendam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 45.5% | 2.20 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 45.5% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| FC Volendam | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% |
| No | 28.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roda win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Roda vs FC Volendam stats
Roda and FC Volendam recent form
| Roda |
LWWWWD |
| FC Volendam |
WLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Roda and FC Volendam going into this match
Roda record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Volendam record
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
Roda vs FC Volendam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-02 | FC Volendam | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
| 2024-11-29 | Roda | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2022-02-07 | Roda | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-13 | FC Volendam | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2021-03-06 | FC Volendam | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 3-4 |
| 2020-10-04 | Roda | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2020-01-24 | Roda | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2019-08-16 | FC Volendam | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 4-0 |
| 2019-05-03 | FC Volendam | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2018-12-14 | Roda | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Roda vs FC Volendam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 24.8%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.72 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.85 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.85 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.72 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.84 | 3.56 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.43 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .