Helmond Sport
vs
FC Volendam
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Volendam
2 – 3 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Volendam is the favourite, not a value bet.
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam
| Probability | Helmond Sport | Draw | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 18.7% | 45.8% |
| Market | 36.4% | 24.8% | 38.8% |
| Final | 36.2% | 23.3% | 40.6% |
| Edge | -0.2% | -1.5% | +1.7% |
Why FC Volendam
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.4% per unit staked (our 40.6% × 2.50 − 1).
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam match preview
Helmond Sport faces FC Volendam in an Eerste Divisie clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. Helmond Sport has a 37% chance of winning, while FC Volendam holds a 41% likelihood of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-3, with an expected goals tally of 2.43 for Helmond Sport and 2.73 for FC Volendam.
Recent form shows Helmond Sport struggling, with five losses in their last six matches, while FC Volendam has recorded two wins in their last six. The model suggests a high-scoring encounter, with an 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 86% probability that both teams will score. In their last ten meetings, Helmond Sport has not secured a win, with FC Volendam claiming seven victories and three draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Helmond Sport and FC Volendam expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.17
Helmond Sport and FC Volendam attack and defence ratings
Helmond Sport
FC Volendam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Volendam | 40.6% | 2.47 | +1.7% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Helmond Sport | 36.2% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| FC Volendam | 40.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 85.7% |
| No | 14.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Volendam win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.3% |
| 2-3 | 5.7% | |
| 1-2 | 5.2% |
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam stats
Helmond Sport and FC Volendam recent form
| Helmond Sport |
WLLLLD |
| FC Volendam |
LLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Helmond Sport and FC Volendam season so far
Helmond Sport record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
FC Volendam record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-28 | FC Volendam | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-20 | Helmond Sport | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2022-02-25 | FC Volendam | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2021-12-03 | Helmond Sport | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-09 | FC Volendam | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 5-1 |
| 2020-09-18 | Helmond Sport | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2020-01-31 | FC Volendam | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2019-08-09 | Helmond Sport | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2019-02-15 | FC Volendam | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2018-09-28 | Helmond Sport | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 24.8%, away 38.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.74 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.95 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.74 | 2.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.93 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 2.43 | 3.36 | 2.27 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .