FC OSS
vs
Waalwijk
Garuda Lions Prediction: Waalwijk
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Waalwijk is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC OSS vs Waalwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC OSS vs Waalwijk
| Probability | FC OSS | Draw | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 25.7% | 30.7% |
| Market | 26.0% | 24.7% | 49.2% |
| Final | 30.4% | 25.0% | 44.6% |
| Edge | +4.4% | +0.2% | -4.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (our 44.6% × 1.93 − 1).
FC OSS vs Waalwijk match preview
In the upcoming Eerste Divisie match, FC OSS hosts Waalwijk with a kickoff time of 19:00 UTC on November 6, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 30% chance of an FC OSS victory, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 45% likelihood that Waalwijk will win. The expected goals for FC OSS stand at 1.70, while Waalwijk is projected to score 1.40.
Recent form shows FC OSS with two wins in their last five matches, while Waalwijk has struggled, recording four draws and a loss in the same timeframe. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2 in favor of Waalwijk, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC OSS and Waalwijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
FC OSS and Waalwijk attack and defence ratings
FC OSS
Waalwijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC OSS vs Waalwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 44.6% | 2.24 | -4.6% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC OSS | 30.4% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Waalwijk | 44.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 69.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
FC OSS vs Waalwijk stats
FC OSS and Waalwijk recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC OSS and Waalwijk season so far
FC OSS record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Waalwijk record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC OSS vs Waalwijk head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Waalwijk | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-21 | FC OSS | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-02 | Waalwijk | FC OSS | Friendlies Clubs | 5-3 |
| 2019-01-13 | FC OSS | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2018-10-12 | Waalwijk | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2018-04-06 | FC OSS | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2017-11-24 | Waalwijk | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2017-03-10 | Waalwijk | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 3-0 |
| 2016-10-14 | FC OSS | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC OSS vs Waalwijk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.0%, draw 24.7%, away 49.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.59 | 3.75 | 1.87 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.75 | 3.95 | 1.89 |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69 | 3.87 | 1.93 |
| SBO | 3.23 | 3.41 | 1.84 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .