Waalwijk
vs
Den Bosch
4 – 0 Full time
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waalwijk vs Den Bosch
| Probability | Waalwijk | Draw | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 25.1% | 41.8% |
| Market | 46.5% | 24.2% | 29.3% |
| Final | 43.1% | 24.4% | 32.5% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +0.2% | +3.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Waalwijk and Den Bosch expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Waalwijk and Den Bosch attack and defence ratings
Waalwijk
Den Bosch
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch: result vs prediction
Waalwijk 4 – 0 Den Bosch
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 43.1% | 2.32 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 43.1% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Den Bosch | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch stats
Waalwijk and Den Bosch recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waalwijk and Den Bosch going into this match
Waalwijk record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Den Bosch record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Waalwijk | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-03 | Den Bosch | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2024-07-06 | Waalwijk | Den Bosch | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2019-02-01 | Waalwijk | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2018-08-24 | Den Bosch | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2018-02-23 | Den Bosch | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2017-10-08 | Waalwijk | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2017-03-17 | Den Bosch | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2016-11-04 | Waalwijk | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 24.2%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.85 | 3.18 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.85 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 3.95 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.85 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 4.10 | 3.21 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.54 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .