Jong Utrecht
vs
Emmen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Jong Utrecht
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Utrecht vs Emmen
| Probability | Jong Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 22.9% | 38.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.0% | 22.9% | 38.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen match preview
Jong Utrecht faces Emmen in the Eerste Divisie with a close matchup anticipated. According to our model, Jong Utrecht has a 39% chance of winning, while Emmen stands at 38%, with a 23% probability of a draw. The expected goals for both teams are nearly equal, with Jong Utrecht at 1.91 and Emmen at 1.89. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Jong Utrecht, occurring with an 8% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Jong Utrecht has struggled, recording one draw and five losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Emmen has shown strong performance, winning four of their last six games. Both teams are predicted to score, with a 73% probability for both teams to find the net, and a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jong Utrecht and Emmen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.81
Jong Utrecht and Emmen attack and defence ratings
Jong Utrecht
Emmen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 39.0% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Emmen | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.2% |
| No | 26.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jong Utrecht win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen stats
Jong Utrecht and Emmen recent form
| Jong Utrecht |
DWLLLL |
| Emmen |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jong Utrecht and Emmen season so far
Jong Utrecht record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Emmen record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | Emmen | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Jong Utrecht | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.