Cambuur
vs
GO Ahead Eagles
Garuda Lions Prediction: GO Ahead Eagles
1 – 2 Predicted score · 5% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — GO Ahead Eagles is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
| Probability | Cambuur | Draw | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.3% | 19.3% | 26.4% |
| Market | 32.0% | 24.2% | 43.8% |
| Final | 37.6% | 22.9% | 39.5% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -1.2% | -4.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.2% per unit staked (our 39.5% × 2.20 − 1).
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles match preview
Cambuur faces GO Ahead Eagles in an Eredivisie clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. Cambuur has a 37% chance of winning, while GO Ahead Eagles holds a 40% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with Cambuur expected to generate 2.66 expected goals compared to GO Ahead Eagles' 1.87.
Recent form shows Cambuur with a sequence of W-D-W-D-W-D, while GO Ahead Eagles has struggled, recording W-L-D-D-D-D. Our model suggests a high likelihood of goals, with an 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.54
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles attack and defence ratings
Cambuur
GO Ahead Eagles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 39.5% | 2.53 | -4.4% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambuur | 37.6% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 39.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.3% |
| No | 20.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.9% | |
| Loss | 73.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.1% |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | |
| 3-1 | 6.3% |
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles stats
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles recent form
| Cambuur |
WDWDWD |
| GO Ahead Eagles |
WLDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles season so far
Cambuur record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GO Ahead Eagles record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 24.2%, away 43.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.01 | 4.03 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.90 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.92 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97 | 3.86 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .