Nigeria Premier Football League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance

1 – 0 Full time

48′C. Iwundu

Nnamdi Azikiwe Stadium, Enugu

Enugu Rangers 61%
Draw 25%
Bendel Insurance 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEnugu RangersDrawBendel Insurance
Model65.6%20.0%14.4%
Market59.4%26.1%14.5%
Final61.0%24.6%14.4%
Edge+1.5%-1.5%-0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Enugu Rangers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.03.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Enugu Rangers ↓ / Bendel Insuran → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 9% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 7% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance expected goals

Enugu Rangers 2.33
Bendel Insurance 1.03

Total expected goals: 3.35

Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance attack and defence ratings

Enugu Rangers

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Bendel Insurance

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance: result vs prediction

Enugu Rangers 1 – 0 Bendel Insurance

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Nigeria Premier Football League

Before and after this match

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Enugu Rangers 61.0% 1.64 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.6% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Enugu Rangers win 43.8% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Enugu Rangers61.0%
Draw24.6%
Bendel Insurance14.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.1%
Under 2.534.9%
Both teams to scoreYes58.7%
No41.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.6%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)39.0%
Handicap -1Enugu Rangers win43.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss34.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.7%
2-09.5%
1-19.2%

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance stats

Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance going into this match

league record before kick-off

Enugu Rangers record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Bendel Insurance record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Enugu Rangers wins 2Draws 2Bendel Insurance wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Enugu RangersBendel InsuranceNigeria Premier Football League2-1
2025-12-13Bendel InsuranceEnugu RangersNigeria Premier Football League1-1
2025-04-05Bendel InsuranceEnugu RangersNPFL0-0
2024-11-17Enugu RangersBendel InsuranceNPFL3-2
2024-06-16Enugu RangersBendel InsuranceNPFL2-0
2024-01-06Bendel InsuranceEnugu RangersNPFL2-0
2019-05-15Enugu RangersBendel InsuranceNPFL1-0
2019-04-25Bendel InsuranceEnugu RangersNPFL2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.4%, draw 26.1%, away 14.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.49 3.42 6.89
Bet365 1.55 3.30 5.50
Betano 1.57 3.50 5.90
Betfair 1.44 3.80 6.50
Dafabet 1.57 3.60 6.00
Marathonbet 1.48 3.42 6.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.