Sport Huancayo
vs
Universitario
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sport Huancayo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.33.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Huancayo vs Universitario
| Probability | Sport Huancayo | Draw | Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.0% | 21.3% | 20.7% |
| Market | 42.1% | 27.2% | 30.7% |
| Final | 46.1% | 25.7% | 28.2% |
| Edge | +4.0% | -1.5% | -2.5% |
Why Sport Huancayo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sport Huancayo below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.6% per unit staked (our 46.1% × 2.25 − 1).
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario match preview
Sport Huancayo enters this match with a solid recent form, having won five of their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 2.28, indicating a strong attacking performance. In contrast, Universitario has recorded two draws and four wins in their last six games, with an expected goals figure of 1.33, suggesting they may struggle to match Huancayo's scoring potential.
The probabilities from our model indicate a 45% chance of a Sport Huancayo victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 29% chance for Universitario to win. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Sport Huancayo, with a 70% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record shows Universitario has historically performed better, with six wins in the last ten encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sport Huancayo and Universitario expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.61
Sport Huancayo and Universitario attack and defence ratings
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys
- Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso
- UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas — team news & stats
- Cusco vs ADT — team news & stats
- UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau — match page
Before and after this match
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Huancayo | 46.1% | 2.17 | +4.0% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Huancayo | 46.1% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Universitario | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Huancayo win | 37.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario stats
Sport Huancayo and Universitario recent form
| Sport Huancayo |
WWLWWW |
| Universitario |
DDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sport Huancayo and Universitario season so far
Sport Huancayo record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universitario record
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Universitario | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Sport Huancayo | Universitario | Peru Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Universitario | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Sport Huancayo | Universitario | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Universitario | Sport Huancayo | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Universitario | Sport Huancayo | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-11 | Sport Huancayo | Universitario | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-25 | Universitario | Sport Huancayo | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2022-06-26 | Sport Huancayo | Universitario | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-26 | Sport Huancayo | Universitario | Primera División | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 27.2%, away 30.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.38 | 3.02 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.38 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.46 | 3.01 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.07 | 2.86 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .