UTC Cajamarca
vs
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Garuda Lions Prediction: UTC Cajamarca
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.93.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
| Probability | UTC Cajamarca | Draw | Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 25.3% | 18.4% |
| Market | 31.1% | 28.4% | 40.4% |
| Final | 37.4% | 27.7% | 34.9% |
| Edge | +6.3% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
Why UTC Cajamarca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.93.
- The market prices UTC Cajamarca below our published probability: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 3.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +20.5% per unit staked (our 37.4% × 3.22 − 1).
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas match preview
UTC Cajamarca faces Club Deportivo Los Chankas in a match where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. UTC Cajamarca has a 41% chance of winning, while Los Chankas holds a 31% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of UTC Cajamarca, with expected goals of 1.78 for them and 0.93 for Los Chankas.
In terms of recent form, UTC Cajamarca has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches, while Los Chankas has shown slightly better form with two draws and one win in their last six outings. The head-to-head record favors UTC Cajamarca with two wins and two draws in the last five encounters between the teams. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack and defence ratings
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
- Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano
- Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca — match page
- Sport Huancayo vs Universitario — team news & stats
- Alianza Atletico v FBC Melgar — match page
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys
- Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso
- Cusco vs ADT — team news & stats
- UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau — match page
Before and after this match
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UTC Cajamarca | 37.4% | 2.67 | +6.3% | 3.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UTC Cajamarca | 37.4% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 34.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | UTC Cajamarca win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas stats
UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas recent form
| UTC Cajamarca |
DLWLLL |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas |
DDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
UTC Cajamarca and Club Deportivo Los Chankas season so far
UTC Cajamarca record
- They have won 5 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Club Deportivo Los Chankas record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | UTC Cajamarca | Peru Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-29 | UTC Cajamarca | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Peru Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | UTC Cajamarca | Peru Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-19 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | UTC Cajamarca | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-15 | UTC Cajamarca | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 28.4%, away 40.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 3.20 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.20 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04 | 3.17 | 2.20 |
| SBO | 2.72 | 2.96 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .