Ponte da Barca
vs
Amarante
0 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | Amarante | ||
| 73′ | Ponte da Barca | ||
| 90′ | Amarante |
Ponte da Barca vs Amarante overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ponte da Barca vs Amarante
| Probability | Ponte da Barca | Draw | Amarante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 31.1% | 27.5% |
| Market | 6.3% | 15.6% | 78.1% |
| Final | 15.1% | 19.5% | 65.4% |
| Edge | +35.1% | +15.5% | -50.5% |
Why Amarante
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ponte da Barca and Amarante expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Ponte da Barca and Amarante attack and defence ratings
Ponte da Barca
Amarante
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ponte da Barca vs Amarante: result vs prediction
Ponte da Barca 0 – 2 Amarante
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ponte da Barca vs Amarante markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amarante | 65.4% | 1.53 | -50.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ponte da Barca | 15.1% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Amarante | 65.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Amarante win | 10.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 72.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
Ponte da Barca vs Amarante stats
Ponte da Barca and Amarante recent form
| Ponte da Barca |
D |
| Amarante |
DLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Ponte da Barca vs Amarante head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Ponte da Barca vs Amarante odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.3%, draw 15.6%, away 78.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.20 | 5.80 | 1.14 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 5.75 | 1.17 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.15 |
| Marathonbet | 14.25 | 5.80 | 1.14 |
| Pinnacle | 12.05 | 5.72 | 1.15 |
| William Hill | 15.00 | 5.00 | 1.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .