Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Sacavenense
vs
Real
0 – 1 Full time
Sacavenense
59%
Draw
20%
Real
21%
Sacavenense vs Real overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sacavenense vs Real
| Probability | Sacavenense | Draw | Real |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.1% | 19.5% | 21.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.1% | 19.5% | 21.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sacavenense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 1.56.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
2%
Sacavenense and Real expected goals
Sacavenense
2.58
Real
1.56
Total expected goals: 4.14
Sacavenense and Real attack and defence ratings
Sacavenense
Attack
1.51 +51%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Real
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sacavenense vs Real: result vs prediction
Sacavenense 0 – 1 Real
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
Sacavenense vs Real markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacavenense | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacavenense | 59.1% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Real | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% |
| No | 26.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sacavenense win | 39.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 3-1 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
Sacavenense vs Real stats
Sacavenense and Real recent form
| Sacavenense |
LW |
| Real |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.