Garuda Lions
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Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna

0 – 6 Full time

13′R. Garcia
29′K. Barja
39′R. Garcia
46′S. GarciaJ. Benitez
46′P. PascualJ. Aliaga
46′J. SanchezD. Lahoz
52′J. Dubasin
53′U. Santos
59′R. Garcia
61′I. MunozL. Torro
61′A. OsambelaM. Echegoyen
71′P. Sebastian YagueJ. Cortes
71′F. Blasco AlvarezM. Comin
72′U. SantosA. Bretones
72′J. DubasinA. Bonel
72′R. MoroR. Garcia
82′A. Bonel

Estadio Municipal de San Inigo, Calatayud

Atletico Calatayud 7%
Draw 11%
Osasuna 82%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico CalatayudDrawOsasuna
Model22.1%24.6%53.3%
Market2.6%6.3%91.1%
Final7.5%10.8%81.7%
Edge+4.9%+4.6%-9.5%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Osasuna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.14.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Calat ↓ / Osasuna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 9% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Atletico Calatayud and Osasuna expected goals

Atletico Calatayud 1.14
Osasuna 1.87

Total expected goals: 3.02

Atletico Calatayud and Osasuna attack and defence ratings

Atletico Calatayud

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Osasuna

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna: result vs prediction

Atletico Calatayud 0 – 6 Osasuna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Osasuna 81.7% 1.22 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.8% 1.70 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.5% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.15 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Calatayud7.5%
Draw10.8%
Osasuna81.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.2%
Under 2.541.8%
Both teams to scoreYes58.8%
No41.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)18.3%
12 (either side)89.2%
X2 (draw or away)92.5%
Handicap -1Osasuna win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
1-29.8%
0-28.6%

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna stats

Atletico Calatayud and Osasuna recent form

newest first
Atletico Calatayud WWLL
Osasuna LWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.6%, draw 6.3%, away 91.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 20.00 10.00 1.02
Bet365 26.00 17.00 1.03
BetVictor 36.00 11.50 1.02
Betano 24.00 11.00 1.03
Betfair 76.00 26.00 1.03
Dafabet 40.00 22.00 1.03
William Hill 61.00 15.00 1.04

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 36.00 ▼ -14.00
X 15.00 ▼ -2.00
2 1.03 ▲ +0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .