Atletico Calatayud
vs
Osasuna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Osasuna
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna
| Probability | Atletico Calatayud | Draw | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 25.6% | 46.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.6% | 25.6% | 46.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Osasuna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.30.
Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna match preview
Atletico Calatayud faces Osasuna in the Copa del Rey, with kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Atletico Calatayud has a 28% chance of winning, while Osasuna is favored at 47%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Atletico Calatayud stand at 1.30, compared to Osasuna's 1.75.
In terms of recent form, Atletico Calatayud has recorded two wins followed by two losses, while Osasuna's recent performance shows one win amidst four losses and a draw. Our model suggests a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is B.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Calatayud and Osasuna expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Atletico Calatayud and Osasuna attack and defence ratings
Atletico Calatayud
Osasuna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Osasuna | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Calatayud | 27.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Osasuna | 46.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Osasuna win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 7.2% |
Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna stats
Atletico Calatayud and Osasuna recent form
| Atletico Calatayud |
WWLL |
| Osasuna |
LDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.