Guijuelo
vs
Sporting Gijon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting Gijon
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon
| Probability | Guijuelo | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.6% | 25.6% | 55.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.6% | 25.6% | 55.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting Gijon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Guijuelo faces Sporting Gijon on October 29, 2026. According to our model, Guijuelo has a 19% chance of winning, while Sporting Gijon is favored with a 56% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with an 11% likelihood. The expected goals for Guijuelo stand at 0.93, whereas Sporting Gijon is projected at 1.76, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows Guijuelo has struggled, with their latest match resulting in a loss. In contrast, Sporting Gijon has had a mixed run, winning two of their last six matches. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 50%, and both teams to score is slightly higher at 51%, suggesting a competitive encounter. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon attack and defence ratings
Guijuelo
Sporting Gijon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Gijon | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guijuelo | 18.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Sporting Gijon | 55.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Gijon win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 0-2 | 10.5% |
Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon stats
Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon recent form
| Guijuelo |
L |
| Sporting Gijon |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.