Manacor
vs
Villarreal
0 – 5 Full time
| 12′ | G. Caldentey | ||
| 13′ | A. Diatta | ||
| 26′ | T. Oluwaseyi | ||
| 46′ | S. MourinoA. Freeman | ||
| 47′ | S. Cardona | ||
| 55′ | P. MarinA. Florit | ||
| 55′ | N. El Jmili | ||
| 56′ | A. MoleiroC. Bonafe | ||
| 57′ | S. CardonaM. Roca | ||
| 61′ | A. GiaquintoJ. Hurtado | ||
| 61′ | J. MariJ. Cardona | ||
| 62′ | P. Navarro | ||
| 68′ | N. Pepe | ||
| 70′ | C. MaciaS. Barrera | ||
| 75′ | P. NavarroG. Mikautadze | ||
| 78′ | L. BallesterA. El Mkadmi | ||
| 78′ | J. HurtadoI. Vives | ||
| 85′ | P. Oliver |
Manacor vs Villarreal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manacor vs Villarreal
| Probability | Manacor | Draw | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.9% | 18.5% | 64.7% |
| Market | 2.6% | 6.5% | 90.9% |
| Final | 6.2% | 9.5% | 84.3% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +3.0% | -6.6% |
Why Villarreal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.34.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manacor and Villarreal expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Manacor and Villarreal attack and defence ratings
Manacor
Villarreal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manacor vs Villarreal: result vs prediction
Manacor 0 – 5 Villarreal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manacor vs Villarreal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 84.3% | 1.19 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Villarreal win | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manacor | 6.2% |
| Draw | 9.5% | |
| Villarreal | 84.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 15.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 93.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Villarreal win | 45.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 34.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.7% |
| 1-3 | 7.7% | |
| 1-1 | 7.2% |
Manacor vs Villarreal stats
Manacor and Villarreal recent form
| Manacor |
no matches on record |
| Villarreal |
WLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manacor vs Villarreal head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Manacor vs Villarreal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 2.6%, draw 6.5%, away 90.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 34.00 | 14.00 | 1.03 |
| Bet365 | 34.00 | 17.00 | 1.03 |
| BetVictor | 36.00 | 10.50 | 1.03 |
| Betano | 35.00 | 10.00 | 1.04 |
| Betfair | 71.00 | 18.00 | 1.04 |
| Dafabet | 50.00 | 17.00 | 1.04 |
| Marathonbet | 34.00 | 14.00 | 1.03 |
| William Hill | 46.00 | 15.00 | 1.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .