Garuda Lions
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Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Prat vs Athletic Club

1 – 6 Full time

29′Maroan Sannadi
31′Robert Navarro
33′Gustavo Reinke
36′Nico Serrano
57′Beñat Prados
60′Raúl InocencioKeonwoo Kim
60′Johaneko Louis JeanAritz Conde
60′Beñat PradosChristian Imga
60′Maroan SannadiJesus Vizcay Hurtado
61′Marc FontPau Moliner
71′David AdanJavi López
71′Albert MorralAdrian Rivas
79′Aitor ParedesBeñat Gerenabarrena
82′Carlos GarcíaÁlex Otero
84′Jesus Vizcay Hurtado
86′Robert NavarroSelton Sanchez
87′Christian Imga
88′Selton Sanchez
90′Uri González

Estadi La Feixa Llarga

Prat 12%
Draw 11%
Athletic Club 77%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 12
32 Possession % 68
1 Corners 7
14 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 2
6 Saves 1
211 Accurate passes 502

Prat vs Athletic Club overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Prat vs Athletic Club

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPratDrawAthletic Club
Model41.8%25.5%32.7%
Market2.2%5.9%91.9%
Final12.1%10.8%77.1%
Edge+9.9%+4.9%-14.8%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Prat ↓ / Athletic Club → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Prat and Athletic Club expected goals

Prat 1.65
Athletic Club 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.15

Prat and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings

Prat

Attack 1.58 +58%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Athletic Club

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Prat vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction

Prat 1 – 6 Athletic Club

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Prat vs Athletic Club markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Athletic Club 77.1% 1.30 -14.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 89.2% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.9% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Prat12.1%
Draw10.8%
Athletic Club77.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)22.9%
12 (either side)89.2%
X2 (draw or away)87.9%
Handicap -1Athletic Club win16.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss65.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Prat vs Athletic Club stats

Prat and Athletic Club recent form

newest first
Prat WW
Athletic Club WLDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Prat vs Athletic Club head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Prat vs Athletic Club odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.2%, draw 5.9%, away 91.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 41.00 16.00 1.01
Bet365 51.00 15.00 1.03
BetVictor 41.00 11.00 1.02
Betano 37.00 9.75 1.02
Betfair 71.00 29.00 1.03
Dafabet 70.00 20.00 1.03
Marathonbet 41.00 16.00 1.01
William Hill 46.00 19.00 1.03

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 43.50 ▲ +0.50
X 16.00 ▼ -1.88
2 1.02 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .