Prat
vs
Athletic Club
Garuda Lions Prediction: Prat
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Prat vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Prat vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Prat | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.9% | 25.1% | 35.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.9% | 25.1% | 35.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Prat vs Athletic Club match preview
Prat faces Athletic Club in the Copa del Rey with a kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Prat has a 40% probability of winning, while Athletic Club stands at 35%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Prat, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Prat are 1.70, compared to Athletic Club's 1.58, suggesting a competitive match.
In terms of recent form, Prat has won their last two matches, while Athletic Club has recorded two draws, two wins, and two losses in their last six games. Our model indicates a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% probability that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Prat and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Prat and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Prat
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Conquense v Castellón — match page
- Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon — team news & stats
- Laredo vs Burgos
- Real Ávila v Unionistas de Salamanca — match page
- Antequera vs Águilas — team news & stats
- Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna — team news & stats
- Hortaleza vs Sevilla
- Ribadesella CF v Racing Santander — match page
Before and after this match
Prat vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prat | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prat | 39.9% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Athletic Club | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Prat win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 60.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Prat vs Athletic Club stats
Prat and Athletic Club recent form
| Prat | WW |
| Athletic Club |
DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.