Recreativo Huelva
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rayo Vallecano
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano
| Probability | Recreativo Huelva | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 26.7% | 46.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.2% | 26.7% | 46.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Rayo Vallecano
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.22.
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano match preview
Recreativo Huelva faces Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey on October 27, 2026. According to our model, Rayo Vallecano has a 46% chance of winning, while both Recreativo Huelva and a draw are at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Recreativo Huelva is 1.22, compared to Rayo Vallecano's 1.64.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 54% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score with a 58% probability. Rayo Vallecano's recent form shows a mix of results with two draws, a win, and two losses, while Recreativo Huelva's recent performance is not available. The confidence grade for this match is B.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano attack and defence ratings
Recreativo Huelva
Rayo Vallecano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Recreativo Huelva | 27.2% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Rayo Vallecano | 46.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rayo Vallecano win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano stats
Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano recent form
| Recreativo Huelva | no matches on record |
| Rayo Vallecano |
DWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.