Ribadesella CF
vs
Racing Santander
Garuda Lions Prediction: Racing Santander
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander
| Probability | Ribadesella CF | Draw | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 26.3% | 42.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.1% | 26.3% | 42.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Racing Santander
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander match preview
Ribadesella CF faces Racing Santander in the Copa del Rey, with kickoff set for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Ribadesella CF has a 31% chance of winning, while Racing Santander is favored at 43%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Ribadesella CF is 1.37, compared to Racing Santander's 1.64, indicating a competitive match.
Recent form shows Ribadesella CF with a draw and a win in their last two matches, while Racing Santander has experienced mixed results, including two losses and a win in their last five games. Our model suggests a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score, reflecting an expectation for an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ribadesella CF and Racing Santander expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Ribadesella CF and Racing Santander attack and defence ratings
Ribadesella CF
Racing Santander
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Santander | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ribadesella CF | 31.1% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Racing Santander | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Santander win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander stats
Ribadesella CF and Racing Santander recent form
| Ribadesella CF | DW |
| Racing Santander |
DLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.