Garuda Lions
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Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander

0 – 2 Full time

24′Manu Hernando
30′B. Campillo
46′J. AranaA. Villalibre
48′A. Villalibre
58′D. LopezA. Alvarez
61′Manu HernandoH. Perez
61′I. LuqueP. Garcia
61′H. MeijaJ. Salinas
63′A. Villalibre
75′C. BlancoH. Malga Cuevas
75′R. Pinera AmievaA. Rodriguez
79′M. GueyeG. Jimenez
81′A. Rodriguez
87′A. FernandezJ. Fernandez
87′M. SanchezN. Galguera Menendez

Estadio Oreyana, Ribadesella

Ribadesella CF 9%
Draw 12%
Racing Santander 79%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRibadesella CFDrawRacing Santander
Model30.4%26.2%43.4%
Market2.3%7.2%90.5%
Final9.3%12.0%78.7%
Edge+7.0%+4.7%-11.8%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Racing Santander

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.32.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ribadesella CF ↓ / Racing Santand → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Ribadesella CF and Racing Santander expected goals

Ribadesella CF 1.32
Racing Santander 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.00

Ribadesella CF and Racing Santander attack and defence ratings

Ribadesella CF

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Racing Santander

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: result vs prediction

Ribadesella CF 0 – 2 Racing Santander

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Racing Santander 78.7% 1.27 -11.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 90.7% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.2% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ribadesella CF9.3%
Draw12.0%
Racing Santander78.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.0%
No39.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)21.3%
12 (either side)88.0%
X2 (draw or away)90.7%
Handicap -1Racing Santander win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss55.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander stats

Ribadesella CF and Racing Santander recent form

newest first
Ribadesella CF DW
Racing Santander WLDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.3%, draw 7.2%, away 90.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 30.00 13.00 1.03
Bet365 41.00 13.00 1.04
BetVictor 23.00 11.00 1.04
Betano 25.00 9.00 1.04
Betfair 46.00 15.00 1.05
Dafabet 50.00 21.00 1.03
William Hill 41.00 13.00 1.05

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.