Xerez
vs
Cadiz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cadiz
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Xerez vs Cadiz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Xerez vs Cadiz
| Probability | Xerez | Draw | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.3% | 28.0% | 50.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.3% | 28.0% | 50.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cadiz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Xerez vs Cadiz match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Xerez faces Cadiz with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Cadiz holds a 51% probability of winning, while Xerez has a 21% chance, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Xerez is 0.92, compared to Cadiz's 1.55, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows Xerez coming off a loss, while Cadiz has recorded a mix of results, including one win and several losses. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 12% probability. Additionally, there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Xerez and Cadiz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Xerez and Cadiz attack and defence ratings
Xerez
Cadiz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
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- Cieza vs Granada
- Reddis v Barakaldo — match page
- Navalcarnero vs Real Betis — team news & stats
- Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo
- Tavernes vs Valencia — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Xerez vs Cadiz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cadiz | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xerez | 21.3% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Cadiz | 50.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cadiz win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.9% | |
| 0-2 | 10.1% |
Xerez vs Cadiz stats
Xerez and Cadiz recent form
| Xerez |
L |
| Cadiz |
LWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.