Ukraine Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 11

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Kharkiv

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Tsentralnyi Stadium, Cherkasy

LNZ Cherkasy 25%
Draw 34%
FC Kharkiv 41%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Kharkiv wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
84%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
39%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
15% of simulated outcomes

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLNZ CherkasyDrawFC Kharkiv
Model25.3%33.7%41.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final25.3%33.7%41.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why FC Kharkiv

  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv match preview

LNZ Cherkasy faces FC Kharkiv in the Ukraine Premier League, with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, LNZ Cherkasy has a 25% chance of winning, while FC Kharkiv is favored with a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 15%. LNZ Cherkasy's expected goals stand at 0.81, compared to FC Kharkiv's 1.11, indicating a potential struggle for the home side.

In terms of recent form, LNZ Cherkasy has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while FC Kharkiv boasts an impressive six consecutive wins. The teams have faced each other twice recently, with LNZ Cherkasy winning once and drawing once, showcasing their slight historical edge. Both teams to score is projected at 39%, and there is a 30% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LNZ Cherkasy ↓ / FC Kharkiv β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 15% 9% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv expected goals

LNZ Cherkasy 0.81
FC Kharkiv 1.11

Total expected goals: 1.93

LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv attack and defence ratings

LNZ Cherkasy

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.68 -32%

FC Kharkiv

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ukraine Premier League

Before and after this match

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Kharkiv 41.0% 2.44 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.7% 1.43 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 61.3% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.7% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.0% 1.70 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LNZ Cherkasy25.3%
Draw33.7%
FC Kharkiv41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.3%
Under 2.569.7%
Both teams to scoreYes38.7%
No61.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)66.3%
X2 (draw or away)74.7%
Handicap -1FC Kharkiv win17.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss59.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.9%
0-114.9%
1-114.5%

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv stats

LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv recent form

newest first
LNZ Cherkasy DWWLWD
FC Kharkiv WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv season so far

league record

LNZ Cherkasy record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

FC Kharkiv record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1LNZ Cherkasy wins 1Draws 0FC Kharkiv wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26LNZ CherkasyFC KharkivUkraine Premier League1-1
2025-10-25FC KharkivLNZ CherkasyUkraine Premier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 FC Kharkiv Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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