Central Espanol
vs
Boston River
Garuda Lions Prediction: Boston River
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Boston River is the favourite, not a value bet.
Central Espanol vs Boston River overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Espanol vs Boston River
| Probability | Central Espanol | Draw | Boston River |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 31.3% | 41.8% |
| Market | 34.8% | 28.0% | 37.2% |
| Final | 32.8% | 28.9% | 38.3% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
Why Boston River
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.2% per unit staked (our 38.3% × 2.55 − 1).
Central Espanol vs Boston River match preview
Central Espanol faces Boston River in an upcoming match where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. Central Espanol has a 31% chance of winning, while Boston River is favored with a 39% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1 in favor of Boston River, with expected goals of 0.95 for Central Espanol and 1.25 for Boston River.
Recent form shows Central Espanol struggling with five consecutive losses, while Boston River has seen mixed results with two wins in their last six matches. The model indicates a 45% chance that both teams will score and a 38% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. With a confidence grade of C, the matchup promises to be intriguing as both teams vie for crucial points.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Central Espanol and Boston River expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Central Espanol and Boston River attack and defence ratings
Central Espanol
Boston River
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Central Espanol vs Boston River markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boston River | 38.3% | 2.61 | +1.2% | 2.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Espanol | 32.8% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Boston River | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.2% |
| No | 54.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Boston River win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Central Espanol vs Boston River stats
Central Espanol and Boston River recent form
| Central Espanol |
WLLLLL |
| Boston River |
LLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Espanol and Boston River season so far
Central Espanol record
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boston River record
- They have won 10 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Espanol vs Boston River head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Boston River | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Boston River | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2016-04-02 | Boston River | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2015-05-02 | Central Espanol | Boston River | Segunda División | 0-2 |
| 2014-12-02 | Boston River | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2014-04-22 | Boston River | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 4-0 |
| 2013-11-19 | Central Espanol | Boston River | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2012-05-12 | Boston River | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 1-3 |
| 2011-12-10 | Central Espanol | Boston River | Segunda División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Central Espanol vs Boston River odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.8%, draw 28.0%, away 37.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.61 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .