Club Nacional
vs
Albion FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Nacional
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.97.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Nacional vs Albion FC
| Probability | Club Nacional | Draw | Albion FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 25.2% | 18.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.9% | 25.2% | 18.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Club Nacional
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC match preview
In the upcoming match between Club Nacional and Albion FC, the probabilities indicate a stronger likelihood for Club Nacional to secure a victory, with a 56% chance compared to Albion FC's 19%. The most probable scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Club Nacional, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 52% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams will score.
Analyzing recent form, Club Nacional has been performing well with a record of W-L-W-W-W-W, while Albion FC has a mixed record of D-W-W-W-W-L. In their last two encounters, both teams have each claimed one victory, showcasing a competitive rivalry. The expected goals are 1.80 for Club Nacional and 0.97 for Albion FC, further highlighting the anticipated dominance of the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Nacional and Albion FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Club Nacional and Albion FC attack and defence ratings
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club Nacional vs Albion FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 55.9% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Albion FC | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Nacional win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
Club Nacional vs Albion FC stats
Club Nacional and Albion FC recent form
| Club Nacional |
WLWWWW |
| Albion FC |
DWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Nacional and Albion FC season so far
Club Nacional record
- They have won 19 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Albion FC record
- They have won 13 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Nacional vs Albion FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Club Nacional | Albion FC | Copa Uruguay | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Club Nacional | Albion FC | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Albion FC | Club Nacional | Uruguay Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2022-10-13 | Albion FC | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-21 | Club Nacional | Albion FC | Primera División - Apertura | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.