Wanderers
vs
Juventud
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wanderers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Wanderers is the favourite, not a value bet.
Wanderers vs Juventud overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wanderers vs Juventud
| Probability | Wanderers | Draw | Juventud |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 35.3% | 35.2% |
| Market | 39.8% | 28.6% | 31.6% |
| Final | 37.2% | 30.3% | 32.5% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +1.7% | +0.9% |
Why Wanderers
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.9% per unit staked (our 37.2% × 2.37 − 1).
Wanderers vs Juventud match preview
Wanderers face Juventud in the upcoming Uruguay Primera División match with probabilities indicating a 41% chance of a Wanderers win, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 30% chance for Juventud. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Wanderers, with an expected goals tally of 0.85 for Wanderers and 0.96 for Juventud.
In terms of recent form, Wanderers have recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Juventud has managed one win and four draws in the same period. Historically, in their last three encounters, Wanderers have secured one victory, while Juventud has claimed two wins. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wanderers and Juventud expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Wanderers and Juventud attack and defence ratings
Wanderers
Juventud
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wanderers vs Juventud markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 37.2% | 2.69 | -2.6% | 2.37 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 37.2% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Juventud | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wanderers win | 10.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 70.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.6% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.3% |
Wanderers vs Juventud stats
Wanderers and Juventud recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wanderers and Juventud season so far
Wanderers record
- They have won 14 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juventud record
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wanderers vs Juventud head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Juventud | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 2-5 |
| 2026-05-02 | Juventud | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Juventud | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wanderers vs Juventud odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 28.6%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.18 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.18 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.32 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .