Boston River
vs
Atletico Torque
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico Torque
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Atletico Torque is the favourite, not a value bet.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boston River vs Atletico Torque
| Probability | Boston River | Draw | Atletico Torque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 28.5% | 42.3% |
| Market | 27.1% | 26.9% | 46.1% |
| Final | 27.6% | 27.3% | 45.1% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +0.4% | -0.9% |
Why Atletico Torque
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (our 45.1% × 2.20 − 1).
Boston River vs Atletico Torque match preview
Boston River faces Atletico Torque in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. Boston River has a 28% chance of winning, while Atletico Torque is favored at 45%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, indicating a narrow victory for the visitors, with expected goals of 1.17 for Boston River and 1.45 for Atletico Torque.
Recent form shows Boston River with a record of L-W-W-D-L-L, while Atletico Torque has W-W-L-L-W-L. In their last three head-to-head meetings, the teams are evenly matched with one win each and one draw. The model indicates a 54% chance for both teams to score, and a 48% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match, suggesting potential for an engaging game.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boston River and Atletico Torque expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Boston River and Atletico Torque attack and defence ratings
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Boston River vs Atletico Torque markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 45.1% | 2.22 | -0.9% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boston River | 27.6% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Atletico Torque | 45.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.9% |
Boston River vs Atletico Torque stats
Boston River and Atletico Torque recent form
| Boston River |
LWWDLL |
| Atletico Torque |
WWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Boston River and Atletico Torque season so far
Boston River record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Torque record
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Atletico Torque | Boston River | Uruguay Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2025-06-23 | Boston River | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Boston River | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Boston River vs Atletico Torque odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 26.9%, away 46.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.34 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.34 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 3.59 | 3.48 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.00 |