CF Montreal
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.84.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
| Probability | CF Montreal | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.3% | 19.4% | 69.3% |
| Market | 21.4% | 22.1% | 56.5% |
| Final | 18.9% | 21.4% | 59.7% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -0.7% | +3.2% |
Why Vancouver Whitecaps
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vancouver Whitecaps below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.7% per unit staked (our 59.7% × 1.72 − 1).
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps match preview
CF Montreal faces Vancouver Whitecaps in this Major League Soccer matchup with kickoff scheduled for November 7, 2026. According to our model, CF Montreal has a 19% chance of winning, while the Whitecaps are favored at 60%. The expected goals for CF Montreal stand at 0.84, contrasting with Vancouver's 2.30, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
Recent form shows CF Montreal struggling, with a record of D-L-L-D-L-L, while Vancouver Whitecaps have been more successful, winning three of their last six matches. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 61% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are forecasted to score at a rate of 52%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings
CF Montreal
Vancouver Whitecaps
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC
- Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew — match page
- DC United vs New York City FC
- FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC — match page
- Inter Miami vs Charlotte — team news & stats
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
Before and after this match
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 59.7% | 1.68 | +3.2% | 1.72 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Montreal | 18.9% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 59.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 46.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 30.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.2% |
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats
CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form
| CF Montreal |
DLLDLL |
| Vancouver Whitecaps |
WWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps season so far
CF Montreal record
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver Whitecaps record
- They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | CF Montreal | Vancouver Whitecaps | Canadian Championship | 2-1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Canadian Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-06 | CF Montreal | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Canadian Championship | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 5-0 |
| 2022-04-16 | CF Montreal | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-17 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2020-09-14 | Vancouver Whitecaps | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.4%, draw 22.1%, away 56.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.10 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.65 | 4.40 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 4.30 | 1.71 |
| Marathonbet | 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | 4.49 | 4.27 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 4.17 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .