Seattle Sounders
vs
Los Angeles FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Seattle Sounders
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Seattle Sounders is the favourite, not a value bet.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
| Probability | Seattle Sounders | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 27.4% | 28.5% |
| Market | 49.4% | 24.8% | 25.8% |
| Final | 48.0% | 25.5% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
Why Seattle Sounders
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.21.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (our 48.0% × 1.95 − 1).
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC match preview
The upcoming match between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC presents an intriguing matchup, with Seattle Sounders holding a 45% probability of winning, while Los Angeles FC stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Seattle, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 57% chance of both teams finding the net and an overall 52% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Seattle Sounders have experienced a mixed run with two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches. Conversely, Los Angeles FC's recent performances include one win, two draws, and two losses. Historically, in their last three encounters, Seattle has secured one victory, while Los Angeles has won twice, indicating a competitive rivalry. The expected goals for Seattle are 1.55, while Los Angeles is projected at 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC attack and defence ratings
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids — match page
- Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — team news & stats
- Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Austin vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City
Before and after this match
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 48.0% | 2.08 | -1.3% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 48.0% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Los Angeles FC | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC stats
Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC recent form
| Seattle Sounders |
LLDDLW |
| Los Angeles FC |
LDDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC season so far
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Los Angeles FC record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles FC | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-15 | Los Angeles FC | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Seattle Sounders | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 5-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Los Angeles FC | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-29 | Seattle Sounders | Los Angeles FC | US Open Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Seattle Sounders | Los Angeles FC | Leagues Cup | 0-3 |
| 2024-07-21 | Seattle Sounders | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 0-3 |
| 2024-02-24 | Los Angeles FC | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-27 | Seattle Sounders | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-22 | Los Angeles FC | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 24.8%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.78 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.89 | 3.81 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.33 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .