Vancouver Whitecaps
vs
Seattle Sounders
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
| Probability | Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 29.2% | 28.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.0% | 29.2% | 28.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders match preview
The matchup between Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders presents an interesting dynamic, with Vancouver holding a 42% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Seattle victory are pegged at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of the Whitecaps, occurring at a 10% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Vancouver will generate 1.39, compared to Seattle's 1.11.
In terms of recent form, Vancouver has recorded one win in their last six matches (L-W-D-D-L-D), while Seattle has fared better with three wins in their last six (D-D-L-W-W-W). Historically, Vancouver has dominated their recent encounters, winning twice and drawing once in the last three matchups against Seattle, who have yet to secure a victory in that span.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders attack and defence ratings
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
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- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC — match page
- Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
- New England Revolution v Inter Miami — match page
- Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC — team news & stats
- Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 42.0% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Seattle Sounders | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders stats
Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders recent form
| Vancouver Whitecaps |
LWDDLD |
| Seattle Sounders |
DDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders season so far
Vancouver Whitecaps record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle Sounders | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Seattle Sounders | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-09 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.