Los Angeles Galaxy
vs
Austin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.46.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin
| Probability | Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.1% | 23.5% | 27.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.1% | 23.5% | 27.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Los Angeles Galaxy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin match preview
Los Angeles Galaxy faces Austin in a Major League Soccer matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Los Angeles Galaxy has a 49% probability of winning, while Austin stands at 27%, and a draw is estimated at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Los Angeles Galaxy, with an expected goals tally of 1.99 for Galaxy and 1.46 for Austin.
In terms of recent form, Los Angeles Galaxy has recorded a draw, win, loss, win, and draw in their last five matches, while Austin's recent performance includes one win, three losses, and two draws. Both teams are expected to score, with our model indicating a 67% probability for both teams to find the net and for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Charlotte vs Orlando City SC
- New York City FC v CF Montreal — match page
- Columbus Crew vs DC United — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
- Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — match page
- St. Louis City vs San Diego — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 49.1% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Austin | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles Galaxy win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 50.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin stats
Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin recent form
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
DWLWWD |
| Austin |
WLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin season so far
Los Angeles Galaxy record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin record
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Austin | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-17 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Austin | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.