Columbus Crew
vs
DC United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Columbus Crew
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.84.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Columbus Crew vs DC United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Columbus Crew vs DC United
| Probability | Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.9% | 17.4% | 9.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.9% | 17.4% | 9.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Columbus Crew
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Columbus Crew vs DC United match preview
Columbus Crew enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 73%, while DC United trails significantly at just 10%. The expected goals for Columbus Crew stand at 2.51, compared to DC United's 0.84, indicating a dominant offensive performance anticipated from the home side. Recent form also favors Columbus Crew, who have recorded three wins in their last five matches, whereas DC United has struggled, with four losses in their last six outings.
Historically, Columbus Crew has performed well against DC United, securing six wins and three draws in their last ten encounters, with DC United managing only one victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 65% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score at a rate of 53%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Columbus Crew and DC United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Columbus Crew and DC United attack and defence ratings
Columbus Crew
DC United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Charlotte vs Orlando City SC
- New York City FC v CF Montreal — match page
- FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
- Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — match page
- St. Louis City vs San Diego — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
- Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — match page
- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Columbus Crew vs DC United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Columbus Crew | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Columbus Crew win | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Columbus Crew | 72.9% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| DC United | 9.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Columbus Crew win | 51.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 27.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-0 | 9.2% |
Columbus Crew vs DC United stats
Columbus Crew and DC United recent form
| Columbus Crew |
WDWWLW |
| DC United |
LLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Columbus Crew and DC United season so far
Columbus Crew record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
DC United record
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Columbus Crew vs DC United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | DC United | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Columbus Crew | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | DC United | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | DC United | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Columbus Crew | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | DC United | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-05 | Columbus Crew | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-14 | DC United | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2022-04-30 | Columbus Crew | DC United | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-31 | DC United | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.